Is the US Treasury QDII now open for limited purchase?

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On January 15, the United States released data regarding its Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December, revealing a surprising dip in core CPIThis unexpected decline signals a potential easing in inflation pressures, which in turn has stirred the market's hope for future interest rate cutsWhile it is likely that rates will remain unchanged in January, the prospects for rate reductions in subsequent months appear to have brightened, leading to a cautiously optimistic outlook regarding capital gains.

Currently, U.STreasury bonds are substantiating favorable value propositionsThe rolling annualized yield on long-term U.STreasuries has fallen to its lowest point in 90 yearsMetrics such as this one are often used as indicators of market sentiment among A-share investors, suggesting that lower yields may signal compelling investment opportunitiesThe lower the yield, the greater the potential value for deployment of capital.

A systemic aspect of today’s financial landscape involves Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) funds that allow Chinese investors to partake in overseas investments, particularly targeting U.S

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bondsRecently, it was noted that the Yin Hua U.SDollar Bond Select fund, a QDII, reopened its subscriptions, offering a single-day cap of 1,000 RMB, which is considerably accommodating in the current context of strict quotasOne of the most significant challenges for investors interested in QDII funds is the quotas themselves; when the available limits get exhausted, investors often find themselves waiting for regulatory approvals or large scale redemptions by other investors before they can enter the market.

To keep abreast of desirable QDII options, investors can add their preferred funds to a watchlist, allowing them to easily monitor availability and ensure they don’t miss outStrategies such as purchasing across multiple share classes of a single fund (as seen with the Silver Hua offering) or setting up a daily investment plan can further optimize these limitationsBy investing modest amounts daily, investors can gradually accumulate shares while also averaging out entry costs over time.

Beyond QDII, another avenue to invest in U.S

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bonds is through mutual recognition frameworks allowing for a cross-border investmentThis concept might seem unfamiliar to manyEssentially, mutual recognition refers to the compatibility of select funds that meet certain requirements in Hong Kong or mainland China, enabling them to be sold in each other's marketsTwo primary categories of mutual recognition exist: northbound, where mainland investors can purchase Hong Kong registered funds, and southbound, where investors in Hong Kong access mainland funds.

In discussions surrounding mutual recognition, northbound funds tend to be what is most frequently referenced among Chinese investors, providing an avenue to invest in global assets during periods when QDII quotas are constrainedOne significant advantage of mutual recognition over QDII is that it does not rely on foreign exchange quotas as these funds are registered locallyThis makes them exempt from the limitations that plague traditional QDII funds, although they are subject to sales ratio constraints between the two markets.

Originally, this sales ratio was set at 50%, equating to a local sale of $1 million for every $1 million sold in Hong Kong

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This year, the ratio has been adjusted to 80%. In practical terms, for every $1 million sold in Hong Kong, it allows for $4 million in sales in mainland marketsHowever, should the sales exceed this ratio, the fund must temporarily suspend sales in mainland China.

The scope of investment also distinguishes QDII from mutual recognition fundsWhile QDII is positioned to engage in global markets, mutual recognition predominantly focuses on the Asia-Pacific region, including markets such as India, South Korea, and AustraliaAdditionally, mutual recognition schemes predominantly feature a limited range of products, offering four primary types—bond, equity, mixed, and index funds—whereas QDII encompasses a diverse array of investment types.

Among mutual recognition offerings, only a few funds focus on U.SbondsNotable among these are the Southern Eastern England Select U.S

Dollar Bond Fund, the E Fund (Hong Kong) Select Bond Fund, and the Morgan International Bond FundThe scarcity of U.Sbond-oriented mutual recognition funds has rendered them popular; for instance, the Southern Eastern fund saw a rapid increase in subscription activity, amassing approximately 18 billion RMB in mere days, thus prompting a suspension in new subscriptions.

Considering the current limitations on pure bond mutual recognition funds focused on U.Sbonds, examining diversified options necessitates exploring mixed mutual recognition offeringsFor example, the Baida Strategy Yield Fund allocates 30% to 35% of its investments toward bonds, with notable holdings in U.STreasury securities and tech stocks like Meta and Apple.

For those unfamiliar with U.STreasury bonds, an individual security might be listed as Us Treasury N/B 4.125% due on 15.11.2032. Here, "Us Treasury" signifies that it is a federal government bond, while "N/B" denotes its classification: "N" refers to Notes (bonds with maturities between 2 and 10 years), and "B" indicates Bonds (those maturing in over a decade), with a specified interest rate of 4.125% and a maturity date of November 15, 2032. For even casual investors intrigued by U.S

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bonds and also eyeing the technology sector, this mutual recognition indeed warrants consideration.

Another benefit of mutual recognition funds is the regular transparency provided through monthly reporting, affording investors clear visibility on their holdings and performancePotential investors must keep in mind that fee structures for mutual recognition funds tend to be higher than those associated with QDII fundsScanning the cost-to-performance ratios before diving into a fund is imperative to maximize net gains.

For instance, consider the differing costs associated with the Southern Eastern and Silver Hua U.Sdollar bond funds; while their performance over the last year is comparable at 3.84% and 3.3% respectively, the costs incurred relate significantly to their respective fee structuresThe Southern Eastern fund may have a lower yield after fees than initially anticipated, thus requiring careful consideration from investors regarding overall expense versus return.

Lastly, the distinction in share classes of mutual recognition funds should be carefully understood prior to investment

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